Skip to content

Research

NEW GUIDE EVERY WEEK

Research Do Businesses That Use AI Report Better Results? Public Census data cannot show whether businesses that use AI report better results: the within-group comparisons are uninterpretable and the overall verdict is inconclusive. 06 OCT
9 MIN
Research San Francisco Jobs and AI: 419 Occupations Compared Across 419 occupations, no relationship was found between one vendor's chat-usage measure and how San Francisco-area employment compared with the national count between two published snapshots; a difference of up to about 10% between the least and most chat-used occupations cannot be ruled out. 06 OCT
9 MIN
Research AI Agent Search Interest by City: San Francisco, Seattle and Four More For the agent-tool phrases we chose, Google searches from San Francisco run at 9.5 times the city's share of the US population and Seattle's at 8.6 times, so the two are similar; this measures searches, not use. 06 OCT
9 MIN
Research California Software Developers by Age: Census Data to 2024 In Census survey data, the share of California software developers aged 22-27 shows no detectable change between 2019 and 2021-22 and 2023-24, and the data cannot identify any role for AI. 06 OCT
10 MIN
Research Entry-Level Software Developer Pay: Squeezed at the Bottom? Between two BLS wage snapshots, the lowest-paid tenth of software pay outside California rose faster than the 75th percentile, so this measure shows no sign of a squeeze at the bottom, but it cannot tell higher pay from fewer low-paid jobs and says nothing about hiring. 06 OCT
7 MIN
Research AI Businesses in San Francisco: How Many Have AI in the Name? In San Francisco's business register, the share of new registrations with an AI marker in the registered name was 0.2% each year through 2022, then 0.6% (2023), 0.9% (2024) and 1.3% (2025). 06 OCT
10 MIN
Research Software Job Postings vs Sales Job Postings: Indeed Data On Indeed, Sales and Customer Service postings fell less than software postings on both start dates and Marketing sits closer to software than Sales or Customer Service do on both start dates, so the overall reading is mixed and says nothing about who does the work. 06 OCT
10 MIN
Research Business Applications vs Formations: What the Data Can Say Public Census data cannot yet tell whether employer-business formations kept pace with applications after late 2022, because 44 of the 45 months since are Census projections; the one observed finding is that formations per application were already lower in 2021-22 than in 2015-2020. 06 OCT
11 MIN